According to CoinMeta, as reported by A early issuer of in in 2021, an advisor to the Iranian Parliament speaker stated that Iran would not reach an agreement with the United States before the end of Trump's term. Financial markets need to be re-priced to accommodate the expectation that the war will continue until January 2029, and the oil and refined products market curves will reflect higher and longer-lasting prices. Gulf countries will develop alternative plans to bypass the Strait of Hormuz or reach agreements with Iran. Iran may prevent the outflow of oil and refined products to exert regional influence. If the United States is unable to protect the interests of its allies, its geopolitical credibility will be damaged, and countries may form new alliances without the U.S. The deadlock between the U.S. and Iran could increase geopolitical risks related to Russia. Oil-dollar flows will become unstable and will shift towards diversified alternatives.