Fed interest rate hike probability rises, market focuses on the September FOMC meeting
2026-09-03 14:56:46
According to CoinMeta, the market is increasingly focusing on the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates at its meeting on September 15-16. Based on market pricing, the probability of a rate hike in September has risen from around 33% to 66%. Economist Steve Hank expects the probability of a rate hike to be about 80%. Traders believe that the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in September is 55%, while the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 46%. The market is paying attention to U.S. employment data and expectations for Fed policy. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh mentioned in his speech at Jackson Hole that an unemployment rate of 4.1% and jobless claims near historic lows indicate that the Fed still has room to maintain high interest rates or raise them without harming workers' interests.
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Source:Coinpedia
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