web3: Foreign media: Bitcoin reaches $65,000, but miners' transaction fees have returned to 2019 levels
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1h ago
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Foreign media reports that while the price of Bitcoin remains high, miners' transaction fee income has fallen back to 2019 levels, and mining companies are accelerating their shift to AI and HPC businesses.
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外媒称,比特币价格维持在 6 万至 6.5 万美元区间,但矿工从链上交易手续费获得的收入却明显下滑。文章援引 Capriole Investments 创始人 Charles Edwards 的测算称,比特币网络年化手续费收入目前约为 9600 万至 1.14 亿美元,已回到 2019 年附近水平。

这意味着,尽管比特币价格较 2019 年大幅抬升,网络总市值也已超过 1.2 万亿美元,但矿工处理交易获得的手续费并未同步增长。对矿企而言,区块奖励持续递减后,手续费未能接棒,正在压缩经营空间。

矿企转向 AI 与算力租赁

文章认为,这一变化正推动矿业公司加快调整业务结构。部分上市矿企开始缩减矿场投入、出售加密资产储备,并把更多资源转向高性能计算(HPC)和 AI 数据中心服务。

外媒提到,矿企之所以愿意转向这类业务,是因为相关合同通常以美元结算,收入也更稳定。相比依赖比特币价格与链上活跃度波动,AI 与 HPC 业务更接近固定现金流。

Canaan 被视为行业样本

文章举例称,矿机厂商兼矿企 Canaan Inc. 正在将部分储备变现,并启动 3000 万美元股票回购计划。按文中数据,该公司资产负债表上持有 1915 枚 BTC 和 3952 枚 ETH,总价值约 1.3 亿美元。

外媒将这一做法视为行业压力的一个缩影。报道还提到,MARA 和 Riot 等大型矿企也出现了将比特币转入托管地址、以覆盖运营开支的信号,反映出行业流动性管理趋于谨慎。

算力仍高位,安全担忧暂未兑现

矿企把更多算力和电力资源转向 AI,也引出一个老问题:未来谁来维持比特币网络安全。文章指出,如果手续费长期低迷,而区块奖励继续下降,部分矿工维持网络运行的经济动力可能进一步减弱。

不过,至少从当前数据看,市场尚未出现明显恐慌。比特币全网算力仍处于 837 EH/s 至 900 EH/s 的高位区间,接近历史纪录。与此同时,网络难度自动调整机制仍在发挥作用,可在设备退出时缓冲短期冲击。

整体来看,文章认为矿企正在从单一押注比特币收益,转向同时经营算力、电力和 AI 基础设施的模式。这一转变短期内未必削弱比特币网络,但会继续改变矿业公司的收入结构。

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