US CPI data will influence year-end interest rate hike expectations
2026-11-10 19:31:48
According to CoinMeta, Coin Bureau indicates that today's U.S. CPI data will be released at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time, and there are no official year-over-year figures available. The pause in 2025 prevented the Bureau of Labor Statistics from collecting prices from last October, resulting in a gap in annual comparisons. For investors, changes in the monthly core CPI may shift the debate about interest rate hikes in December from 25 basis points to 50 basis points. The macroeconomic backdrop shows that the inflation rate in September was 3.7%, up from 3.4%, with prices accelerating again, with over 70% of core service categories experiencing increases of more than 3%. In addition, there were 165,000 new jobs created, and the unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%, leaving room for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates further. The market's expectation of a rate hike in December has risen to 84%. Federal Reserve governor Waller stated that even if inflation cools down, he still supports raising interest rates, and if the core CPI reaches 0.3%, the potential increase could be even larger. The possible impacts of today's core CPI data are as follows: a 0.1% increase would reduce the probability of a rate hike, stocks and Bitcoin might rise; a 0.2% increase would be in line with expectations; a 0.3% or higher increase in December would increase the risk, and stocks and Bitcoin might fall.
Source:X
This content is for market information only and does not constitute investment advice.
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