Buffett has never predicted stock market crashes, but Wall Street's record-breaking upward trend has prompted people to revisit his views on how to survive market downturns.
On October 6th, both the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq index closed at record highs, driven by technology stocks and those related to artificial intelligence. At the same time, the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds rose above 5.3%, a level not seen in about 24 years.
Panmure Liberum warns that the S&P 500 index could fall to 5,000 points by the end of 2027, which is more than 35% lower than the current level. However, several other institutions hold a more optimistic view.
Buffett's investment approach emphasizes the ability to withstand losses over the long term. He warns against buying stocks with borrowed money and points out that Berkshire Hathaway's stock price has fallen by more than 50% on more than one occasion, and such declines are likely to happen again in the future; it's just that the timing is unpredictable.
In summary, his advice is: hold for a long period of time, use leverage as little as possible or not at all, and avoid panic selling.
In his 1996 letter to shareholders, Buffett further stated that if anyone expects to flee in a panic during a stock market crash, then it might be best not to hold stocks at all.
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