NVIDIA's board of directors is investigating CEO Jensen Huang, as recent reports have indicated that he has become a target of "foreign intelligence operations." However, traders in the market predict that it is unlikely that this will lead to his removal from his position.
On Sunday, Jensen Huang admitted to having an extramarital affair with a woman. According to the New York Times, which cited American intelligence officials, this woman is a spy for China's National Security Department.
On Kalshi, speculators believe that the probability of Jensen Huang leaving before 2027 is only 17%. By 2028, this probability rises to 30%; by 2029, it rises to 35%. However, they estimate that the probability of Jensen Huang leaving before 2031 is 75%.
The contract regarding Jensen Huang's departure on Kalshi is settled based on information from Bloomberg.
On Polymarket, speculators believe that the probability of Jensen Huang resigning or being forced to leave before the end of March 2027 is only one in four. Contracts on this platform are settled based on official statements issued by the company or Jensen Huang himself.
On Monday, following the release of this news, NVIDIA's stock price fell by more than 5%.
Disclosure:CNBC has a business relationship with Kalshi, which includes customer acquisition cooperation and a small amount of equity investment.
