Elon Musk: Agrees with the prediction of achieving AGI by 2027, but the market predicts a low probability
2026-09-28 17:49:59
According to CoinMeta, Musk reposted posts with the hashtags dr and singularity and made accurate comments. These posts predicted that major American laboratories would achieve general artificial intelligence (AGI) by 2027, and the response garnered 1.8 million views. The prediction market was skeptical about achieving AGI before 2027; Polymarket gave a 18% probability, Kalshi gave a 14.8% probability, and Kalshi predicted a 44.3% chance that OpenAI would be announced before 2028. During the same period, GPT-6 and Astra were published. Jensen Huang claimed that AGI had already arrived, but Lecun questioned whether autoregressive LLM could achieve human-level intelligence.
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Source:Internet
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