MSTR Stock Price Outlook: MSCI Eliminating Worries Raises Doubts About $2.8 Billion of Selling Pressure

MSTR's stock price is under attention as Strategy faces the possibility of being removed from the MSCI index. Concerns about passive selling pressure are putting additional strain on the stock, and it is estimated that index funds may sell off shares worth nearly $2.8 billion.

However, this estimate may no longer reflect the current market value of Strategy. The initial figures came from a report in November 2025, when the stock's trading price was nearly twice what it is now. With MSTR having fallen by nearly 50% since then, the potential selling pressure could be closer to $1.4 billion.

MSCI Will removing it affect the stock price of MSTR?

Strategy may be excluded from the MSCI index, which has been largely anticipated by the market. Therefore, the upcoming decision may not be as surprising as the recent headlines suggest.

The scale of the MSCI index is also smaller than that of major benchmark indices such as the NASDAQ 100 and S&P 500 indices. This means that, compared to being excluded from larger-scale indices, its potential impact is relatively limited.

The widely circulated estimate of a $2.8 billion sale also needs to be considered in conjunction with the current stock price of Strategy, rather than being measured by the valuation from November 2025.

The price of Bitcoin remains key to the MSTR stock.

Bitcoin remains the biggest factor affecting the stock price of MSTR. As the trading price of Bitcoin is around $74,000, its weak performance has also dragged down the stock price of Strategy.

The impact of company announcements and quarterly financial reports on the price of MSTR is usually not as significant as the trend of Bitcoin. Therefore, compared to the decisions regarding MSCI, the mere continuous recovery of Bitcoin itself may provide stronger support for the stock of Strategy.

The price of STRC under Strategy has risen to $99.99.

Meanwhile, despite the rise in U.S. Treasury yields and market concerns about inflation, the STRC preferred stocks of Strategy still rose to $99.99.

Higher interest rates usually put pressure on fixed-income investments. However, STRC still performs robustly. One possible reason is that the borrowing needs from AI are affecting the yield of U.S. Treasury bonds, while the financing purposes of STRC are different and are related to Strategy's Bitcoin strategy.

STRC The next key price level worth paying attention to is $100.

Author: Nidhi Kolhapur; Source: CoinPedia.