According to CoinMeta, predictive market analysis indicates that the probability of Trump losing the midterms is close to 80%, which could lead to a “sweep” by the Democratic Party in Congress. This could result in a freeze of Trump’s agenda, the resumption of investigations, an increased risk of impeachment, more spending disputes, a heightened risk of a government shutdown, an increased risk of a war with Iran, and a stagnation in crypto monetary policy, among other consequences.