According to CoinMeta, well-known AI podcast host Dwarkesh Patel has significantly advanced his predictions regarding superintelligence. He believes that superintelligence could emerge by 2030, or even sooner next year. AI is most likely to catch up with top human AI researchers around 2028, and could do so in as little as a few months. Once AI is able to independently develop more powerful AI, the technological progress that would normally take several years could be compressed into just one year. Recent surveys show that the capabilities of Anthropic models in some quantifiable tasks have improved at a rate approximately twice that of the past, with much of this acceleration likely coming from the participation of AI in the research and development.